Friday, September 16, 2011

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Preview Part 1: Pitching

Randy Wolf (12-9, 3.44 era) will pitch for the Brewers tonight. He is coming off a fantastic last two starts (8.0 IP, 1 ER vs. St. Louis) and (7.0 IP, 2ER vs. Philadelphia). As with all the other pitchers in this rotation, Wolf is fighting for positioning on the playoff rotation. He is establishing himself as a good postseason option, but he is often vulnerable to a bad outing (He has given up five or more earned runs in two out of his last five, and three out of his last eight starts).

Wolf throws a 88mph fastball around half of the time. He also throws a 84mph slider and a 68mph curveball about 20% percent of the time, and a 79mph change-up the rest of the time. His two plus pitches are his fastball (8.2 runs above average), and curveball (5 runs above average. His slider is 3 runs below average, and his change-up is 2.4 runs below average.

Bronson Arroyo (8-11, 5.28era) is pitching for the Reds. Arroyo has given up five or more runs in two of his last three starts. His last start he gave up 6ER in 1IP. Arroyo will give up a few homeruns (2.05 HR/9) which should play into the hands of the Brewers.

Bronson throws five pitches. He throws his 87mph fastball 47% of the time and it is more than 22 runs below average. He also has a slightly above average 85mph cutter, which he throws 3% of the time, and a below average 80mph change-up pitched around 18% of the time. His two best pitches are his slider (75mph, thrown 16%, 3 runs above average), and his curveball (72mph, thrown 12%, 3.4 runs above average).

Advantage: Brewers

Please Comment and Go Brewers

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